Tag Archives: fun with extended forecasts

Silly (Prediction) Season is Upon Us Again

Posted on August 18, 2015 by Greg Marvelous

It’s that time of year when the news media gets a free fluff piece to eat 30-60 seconds of air time or throw up a random post on their site to generate clicks/shares, and make it seem like they actually … Continue reading →

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First Significant Cold and Snow Forecast for Next Week

Posted on September 29, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

All forecasts are pointing to a major blast of cold air near the end of next week across much of the central US.  Temperatures will run well below normal.  The map above suggests an average 5-day anomaly of as much … Continue reading →

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Does CPC Stand for Conflicting Predictions Center?

Posted on August 13, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

This is the monthly temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for August, which was made on July 31, 2012: The following two images are the 6-10 and 8-14 day temperature outlook valid for the middle-to-late portion of August: Keeping … Continue reading →

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Thanksgiving Weather: The Evolution of a Forecast

Posted on November 19, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

Thanksgiving is one week from today.  It’s so close you can smell the turkey and stuffing.  You’re already seeing the holiday commercials advertising their 4:00AM opening on the day after Thanksgiving.  There are probably radio stations switching to full-time holiday … Continue reading →

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Any Below-Normal Temperatures on the Way?

Posted on November 15, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

After a record-setting cool and wet October, November has gotten off to a pretty warm start.  And, if it were not for Ida and her remnants moving through the southeast and mid-Atlantic, it might be considered a fairly dry start … Continue reading →

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Temperatures Expected to Rebound this Week, but How Long Will it Last?

Posted on October 17, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

[picapp src=”0181/dc28bc4f-ef5f-46f9-880d-aab6ede495eb.jpg?adImageId=6026414&imageId=185061″ width=”500″ height=”332″ /] Oh, the forecast isn’t that scary… or is it? Temperatures are expected to warm to near-normal from West to East beginning today and continuing through the middle of the work week.  Given the cold weather … Continue reading →

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Frost Advisories & Freeze Watches/Warnings Up Around the Continent

Posted on September 19, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

Frost and freeze advisories are up in New England and northern Michigan.  Meanwhile, a freeze watch is in effect in NW Colorado and eastern Utah.  None of these occurrences are unusual, just a sign of Fall and the associated crisp … Continue reading →

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Holy Cold Snap, Batman!

Posted on September 15, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

For fun, I decided to check the 10-day GFS model this morning just to see if there was anything interesting on the horizon.  I must admit, I didn’t think I would see this in the 7-10 period:

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Fun with Extended Forecasts: Syracuse Finale

Posted on September 1, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

We begin here and updated here.  Now for the final numbers: Thurs: 72/49 Fri: 72/55 Sat: 73/58 In short, temperatures did end up below normal, but not as cold as originally anticipated in the long-range forecasts.  I noted in the … Continue reading →

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Fun with Extended Forecasts: Updating Syracuse

Posted on August 27, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

Last week, we begin our experiment with long-range forecasts and their issues with accuracy.  Our first guest was Syracuse, NY.  Accuweather.com and Weather.com were both predicting rather cool temperatures for Syracuse at the end of this week.  The long-range forecasts … Continue reading →

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