Tag Archives: long-range forecasting

Silly (Prediction) Season is Upon Us Again

It’s that time of year when the news media gets a free fluff piece to eat 30-60 seconds of air time or throw up a random post on their site to generate clicks/shares, and make it seem like they actually … Continue reading

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Does AccuWeather Respect the Process?

Or is this what people want?… (emphasis mine) Though summerlike temperatures kicked off fall in some parts of the United States, winter — with its cold and snow — is quickly following. The season will get off to a slow … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Seasonal Weather, Winter Weather | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

AccuWeather Trolls Hard with New Winter Outlook

This morning, AccuWeather released what I have to believe is their final Winter outlook.  December 1st is the beginning of meteorological Winter and I don’t think much could change between now and then to affect their outlook.  So how do … Continue reading

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El Niño Watch Discontinued

About 10 days ago, the CPC ended their El Niño watch after conditions declined into the ENSO-neutral category.  Coming out of La Niña last Winter, most forecasts expected El Niño conditions to develop for this year’s Winter.  In fact, El … Continue reading

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The Curious Case of Henry Margusity’s Forecast for Sandy

Henry Margusity is a meteorologist at AccuWeather.com. Like many meteorologists this week, he has been attempting to forecast the evolution of Hurricane Sandy. He also appears to be fighting a battle either with himself or unspecified readers. Everything begins innocently … Continue reading

Posted in Autumn Weather, Forecasting, Humor, Tropical Weather, Winter Weather | Tagged , , , , | 9 Comments

Hot Summer Forecast to End with (Relative) Cold Stretch (UPDATED)

After a dry and warm start to Summer in June, the following month managed to set the record for the hottest July in recorded US history.  Most Americans living east of the Rockies don’t need charts, graphs, maps, or numbers … Continue reading

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Does CPC Stand for Conflicting Predictions Center?

This is the monthly temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for August, which was made on July 31, 2012: The following two images are the 6-10 and 8-14 day temperature outlook valid for the middle-to-late portion of August: Keeping … Continue reading

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