Tag Archives: long-range forecasting

Silly (Prediction) Season is Upon Us Again

Posted on August 18, 2015 by Greg Marvelous

It’s that time of year when the news media gets a free fluff piece to eat 30-60 seconds of air time or throw up a random post on their site to generate clicks/shares, and make it seem like they actually … Continue reading →

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Does AccuWeather Respect the Process?

Posted on October 25, 2013 by Greg Marvelous

Or is this what people want?… (emphasis mine) Though summerlike temperatures kicked off fall in some parts of the United States, winter — with its cold and snow — is quickly following. The season will get off to a slow … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting, Seasonal Weather, Winter Weather | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

AccuWeather Trolls Hard with New Winter Outlook

Posted on November 19, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

This morning, AccuWeather released what I have to believe is their final Winter outlook.  December 1st is the beginning of meteorological Winter and I don’t think much could change between now and then to affect their outlook.  So how do … Continue reading →

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El Niño Watch Discontinued

Posted on November 18, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

About 10 days ago, the CPC ended their El Niño watch after conditions declined into the ENSO-neutral category.  Coming out of La Niña last Winter, most forecasts expected El Niño conditions to develop for this year’s Winter.  In fact, El … Continue reading →

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The Curious Case of Henry Margusity’s Forecast for Sandy

Posted on October 25, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

Henry Margusity is a meteorologist at AccuWeather.com. Like many meteorologists this week, he has been attempting to forecast the evolution of Hurricane Sandy. He also appears to be fighting a battle either with himself or unspecified readers. Everything begins innocently … Continue reading →

Posted in Autumn Weather, Forecasting, Humor, Tropical Weather, Winter Weather | Tagged , , , , | 9 Comments

Hot Summer Forecast to End with (Relative) Cold Stretch (UPDATED)

Posted on August 17, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

After a dry and warm start to Summer in June, the following month managed to set the record for the hottest July in recorded US history.  Most Americans living east of the Rockies don’t need charts, graphs, maps, or numbers … Continue reading →

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Does CPC Stand for Conflicting Predictions Center?

Posted on August 13, 2012 by Greg Marvelous

This is the monthly temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for August, which was made on July 31, 2012: The following two images are the 6-10 and 8-14 day temperature outlook valid for the middle-to-late portion of August: Keeping … Continue reading →

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Policy Changes, Technological Advances in NOAA

Posted on January 26, 2010 by Greg Marvelous

The beginning of a new year can often bring about changes in companies and organizations.  NOAA is no exception.  They continue to try to find ways to improve communication with the general public, redefine how they classify certain weather phenomena, … Continue reading →

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Cool Start to Fall Looks to Continue into November

Posted on October 25, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

The 6-10 outlook from the CPC indicates the cool start to Autumn experienced by many in the lower 48 will continue into the beginning of November. The above graphic is valid from Halloween through November 4th.  The CPC is looking … Continue reading →

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Temperatures Expected to Rebound this Week, but How Long Will it Last?

Posted on October 17, 2009 by Greg Marvelous

[picapp src=”0181/dc28bc4f-ef5f-46f9-880d-aab6ede495eb.jpg?adImageId=6026414&imageId=185061″ width=”500″ height=”332″ /] Oh, the forecast isn’t that scary… or is it? Temperatures are expected to warm to near-normal from West to East beginning today and continuing through the middle of the work week.  Given the cold weather … Continue reading →

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