Category Archives: Forecasting

Silly (Prediction) Season is Upon Us Again

It’s that time of year when the news media gets a free fluff piece to eat 30-60 seconds of air time or throw up a random post on their site to generate clicks/shares, and make it seem like they actually … Continue reading

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Does AccuWeather Respect the Process?

Or is this what people want?… (emphasis mine) Though summerlike temperatures kicked off fall in some parts of the United States, winter — with its cold and snow — is quickly following. The season will get off to a slow … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasting, Seasonal Weather, Winter Weather | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

The National Weather Service Forecasts 21+ Inches of Snow Over the Atlantic Ocean

Today, it was announced that Dr. Louis Uccellini will take over as the Director of the National Weather Service.  I’ve had the opportunity to see him speak a couple times at conferences.  I hope he will do well in his … Continue reading

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AccuWeather Trolls Hard with New Winter Outlook

This morning, AccuWeather released what I have to believe is their final Winter outlook.  December 1st is the beginning of meteorological Winter and I don’t think much could change between now and then to affect their outlook.  So how do … Continue reading

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El Niño Watch Discontinued

About 10 days ago, the CPC ended their El Niño watch after conditions declined into the ENSO-neutral category.  Coming out of La Niña last Winter, most forecasts expected El Niño conditions to develop for this year’s Winter.  In fact, El … Continue reading

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CPC November Outlook

(Yes, this is late.  So, I’ll give you an update on where we stand halfway through the month.) Here are the temperature (above) and precipitation (below) outlooks from the CPC for the month of November: The basic highlights are warmth … Continue reading

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CPC Review: October 2012

Once again, we review how the CPC monthly outlook performed.  We’ll begin by looking at the temperature outlook.  Recall, that on the last day in September, the CPC changed their temperature outlook dramatically, resulting in this: Here’s what actually happened: … Continue reading

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