If you were hoping to head down to Cancun or Cozumel for Halloween (does anyone do this?), it’s probably not a great idea. Unless you’re a cast member of a reality show. In that case, knock yourself out. Literally.
Hurricane Rina is currently a category two storm with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. It is forecast to intensify ever so slightly to a category three storm with max sustained winds of 115 mph. This will make Rina a “major” hurricane.
(Side note: I’m not exactly sure when this happened, but sometime in the not-so-distant past the people of the National Hurricane Center decided to label hurricanes stronger that category two “major” hurricanes. Apparently, when you tell people that a hurricane is coming to their area, it’s not enough to scare them into taking precautions. Now, we have to delineate between a simple hurricane and a major hurricane. Here’s some free advice… if there’s a tropical cyclone of any kind coming to your area, prepare accordingly. If it’s a hurricane bearing down on you, get out of there. Of course, you could just not live on the coast and save yourself the trouble.)
Anyway, Rina is forecast to make landfall on the eastern edge of the Yucatan peninsula Thursday evening before making a hard right turn toward Cuba and southern Florida. As you can see from the graphic below, there is a lot of uncertainty in Rina’s path, especially after it makes landfall in Mexico.
In fact, there’s a chance the center of the storm could miss Mexico altogether. Still, the effects of the storm will be felt on land. As for the US mainland, we’ll have to check back in 2-3 days for the updated forecast.