If so, there are plenty of skilled people still needed. If you need evidence, look at some recent forecasts from the National Hurricane Center for the track of Tropical Storm Nate in the Gulf of Mexico. Here’s the forecast track issued at 7 PM CDT on Thursday, September 8th:
In a matter of three hours, the forecast track went from slowly moving toward the US/Mexico border, to more rapidly moving into central Mexico. Landfall shifted about 300 miles south and moved up from sometime late next week to Sunday morning. It’s just another example of how there is still room for improvement in forecasting.
The saddest part about this change in forecast is how it takes away a significant rain event from south central Texas. They are mired in a horrid drought that has led to wildfires throughout the state. And while 2-3 inches of rain from Nate would barely put a dent into the drought, it would help on the long road to recovery from this event. Alas, they will have to wait a while for any wet weather. The latest GFS (long-range model) run show no precipitation in southern Texas for the next week. Of course, as we’ve learned here, forecasts can change quickly.